USD Price, Chart and US Q4 GDP Analysis:
- US dollar basket sitting on the 200-day moving average.
- Delayed US Q4 GDP may spur the next move.
The US dollar basket (DXY) is fading gently lower in European hours ahead of the, delayed, first look at US Q4 GDP at 13.30 GMT. Market expectations are pointing to annualized Q/Q growth slipping to 2.2%, down from 3.4%, although recent data and Fed speak has warned of a slowdown in the US economy. Before the figures are released, Fed Vice Chair Clarida speaks at 13:00 GMT while later during the session we hear from Fed members Bostic (13:50 GMT), Harker (16:00 GMT) and Kaplan (18:00 GMT).
DailyFX analyst David Song will be covering the US Q4 GDP release from 13:15 GMT.
The US dollar basket is currently sitting on the 200-day moving average around 95.40 and is looking for its next move. Support is situated around the two January lows between 94.50 and 94.60 beofre 38.2% Fibonacci retracement comes in at 94.00. To the upside, the 20-day moving average at 96.08 guards the mid-February multi-week high at 96.85. The RSI indicator continues to move lower and is touching a multi-week low.
USD Basket (DXY) Daily Price Chart (May 2018 – February 28, 2019)
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