FTSE Technical Analysis – Backdrop Weakens, but Still in Channel

FTSE Technical Analysis – Backdrop Weakens, but Still in Channel


FTSE Technical Highlights:

  • FTSE turn lower took out one level of support, but trend still favorable
  • Continue using channel as a guide, market remains constructive as long as within

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FTSE weakens but remains bullish within channel

The FTSE took a hard spill on Friday as global indices as a whole weakened. The dagger of a down day took out a previous point of resistance turned support with little difficulty, bringing the area round 7235 into question as a meaningful point of reference.

The rise and fall last week created a key-reversal candle on the weekly time-frame which suggests some weakness could spill over into this week, which we have seen a small amount of so far to begin the week. More selling may bring into play meaningful trend support.

Not far below lies the lower parallel of the rising channel off the December low, a threshold that as long as it’s maintained will keep the FTSE generally pointed higher. It may not lead to a strong rally should it hold but it does provide both sides of the tape a line-in-the-sand to operate off of.

A bounce off trend support will have the 200-day around 7234 back in play and then the recent high at 7370 as resistance. Beyond there the trend-line off the record high from last year would become the target.

On the flip-side, a break of the underside parallel and the low at 7041 will turn the bias decisively negative. It would be at that time the longer-term topping pattern (discussed in the quarterly equity forecast) could start to pick up momentum once again.

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FTSE Daily Chart (Channel acts as a guide)

FTSE daily chart, channel acts as a guide

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—Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

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