US Dollar Under Duress Post-NFP – Exhaustion Ahead?
The US Dollar remains in a precarious position heading into the open of the week. The decline off the yearly highs has taken price to levels not seen since March with the US Dollar Index (DXY) straddling Fibonacci support on the back of Friday’s NFP report. While the broader risk remains weighted to the downside, the immediate decline may be vulnerable near-term with numerous crosses testing key technical pivot zones early in the week. In this webinar we review updated technical setups on DXY, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, Gold, Crude Oil (WTI), SPX (S&P 500), GBP/USD & USD/JPY.
Key Trade Levels in Focus
DXY – Interim resistance at 97.16 backed by 97.58. Downside support objectives unchanged at 96.31 & the yearly open at 96.14– look for a bigger reaction there IF reached.
EUR/USD – Interim support around 1.13 with near-term bullish invalidation at 1.1251. Topside resistance objectives at 1.1375 and the 61.8% retracement of the yearly range at 1.1393.
AUD/USD – Key resistance range at 7005/018 (with the yearly open just higher at 7042). Interim support 6957/62 with bullish invalidation at 6925/26.
USD/CAD – Interim resistance at 1.3330s backed by near-term bearish invalidation at 1.3357. Weekly open support at 1.3238 with a break lower targeting subsequent support objectives at 1.32 and 1.3175.
Gold – Rally tested the 2018 high-day close on Friday at 1348 – risk for a larger set-back while below the yearly high-close at 1341 – Look for possible exhaustion at 1316 & 1307 IF reached. A topside breach keeps the focus on 1366.
For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy
Key Event Risk This Week
Economic Calendar – latest economic developments and upcoming event risk
Active Trade Setups:
—Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX
Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex